As Asian markets opened, gold kicked off the session with a notable bullish gap, while the SPX500 opened lower and Bitcoin dropped more than 3.5% within two hours. This sharp divergence between risk assets and safe havens indicates that capital is flowing out of speculative markets and into protective assets.
Such behavior strengthens expectations of rising geopolitical tension between Iran and the United States in the Middle East. Analysts are increasingly speculating that Washington may be preparing a surprise move against Tehran. While public attention in Iran is largely focused on the USS Abraham Lincoln, which is expected to arrive in the region within roughly five days, alternative scenarios are being discussed — including an immediate airstrike without prior signaling.
Meanwhile, gold has also been fueled by another major catalyst: Donald Trump’s new tariff threat against European allies. Over the weekend, gold rallied aggressively and broke above $4,690 per ounce, marking a new all-time high.
Demand for safe-haven assets surged after Trump hinted that punitive tariffs would be imposed if Europe refuses to negotiate on the Greenland issue. This stance has pushed trade tensions between Washington and Brussels into a more sensitive phase, prompting the European Union to intensify efforts to prevent a rapid escalation.
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